Pages

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Missionary's Position---Fracking Data

Everyday it seems we get another cornucopian article in one of our jackass newspapers declaring that the new oil and gas wells brought on line by the frackin' process has set conditions up so we will be energy independent. Each time I hear this my eyes fill with figures that do not agree with this idiotic position.

For one thing, the new drilling has only added some 650,000 barrels a day to out production bringing our present total to a grand 6.4 million barrels a day. But always I find myself thinking, "But we use some 19 million barrels a day" and we import close to 10 million. So just where is this additional 10 million coming from? Out of frackin"? We have already drilled some 35, 000 well bores to get this new improvement and those holes were mostly in the sweet spots. To top it off the wells decline very fast so in order to maintain the new flows more and more holes have to be drilled just to keep up--and they will not be in the sweet spots.

Yet we hear this nonsense that keeps telling the citizens drive baby, drive because we have tons of the stuff. Even if we have "some" why the hell would we want to burn it up all now. Why not save some for future generations? Plus, if no one has noticed the earth is getting hotter. We are a mindless lot.


A couple of days ago new graphs came out that one would think would wake up at least a few of the electorate, not really, I suppose, because it is outside of their world view. Maybe cognitive dissonance or some thing. Here are the graphs. Above, one can see that even the highest estimate from the tight oil only shows 2.75 million barrels a day. Not 10. The lower estimate shows almost no gain from today because the "Red Queen Affect" has kicked in where they just have to drill more holes just to stay even.



This graph may also be telling because it show that of right now the Bakken play is in decline. Admittedly there are some wells missing from this graphs as the companies are holding back some data, but still a little unnerving. Then again, maybe unnerving is not the right word because I don't want more oil. We do not need "more" oil. It is killings us. It is a tough mind change. A a paradigm shift

All and all, it is all a sad story as we struggle to maintain a lifestyle that is a dead end. When it is all gone, it will be all gone. What idiots. Nate Hagans said, "The biggest threat to the American way of life is the American way of life". There is more to that than meets the mind. We need and end to it, I am afraid. I wish it would be voluntary and not nature induced.

No comments:

Post a Comment